Santa's workshop ain't what it used to be. A goodly portion of the gifts
under the tree this season are likely to come not from the North Pole,
but from Amazon, which this week unveiled its eighth-generation fulfillment centers complete with the latest in robotics technology.
Front and center in these cutting-edge warehouses are 15,000 Kiva robots
capable of picking up, carrying, and sorting products aided by giant
Robo-Stow robotic arms. The sight of these eerily quiet, robot-powered
fulfillment centers – which Wired calls "even more improbable than flying reindeer" – is sure to stoke new fears that robots are coming to take our jobs.
Not so, says Amazon. The company recently announced it will hire 80,000
seasonal employees – a 14 percent increase over last year – some of whom
will stay on in regular, full-time roles.
By teaming robots and humans, Amazon aims to make its already
legendarily efficient order fulfillment process even more timely. The
Tracy fulfillment center, east of San Francisco, currently ships 700,000
items on a peak day. By the time the facility is fully fitted out with
Kiva cohorts, that number will rise as high as 1.5 million items, Dave
Clark, Amazon's vice president of worldwide operations, told Wired.
Impatient e-shoppers, disgruntled that Amazon orders must be placed by
noon to ensure next-day delivery, may cheer the prospect of this new
heightened efficiency. But all that speed comes at a human cost.
Earlier this year, Salon blasted Amazon's working conditions as "worse than Wal-Mart" and likened its treatment of workers to those in 19th-century factories – with a high-tech twist.
Basic tasks at Amazon, such as shelving and packaging goods, are broken
down into subtasks, usually measured in seconds, and workers are subject
to unrelenting surveillance to ensure they meet productivity targets.
Salon's Simon Head says, "Amazon's system of employee monitoring is the
most oppressive I have ever come across and combines state-of-the-art
surveillance technology with the system of 'functional foreman,'
introduced by [Frederick Winslow] Taylor in the workshops of the
Pennsylvania machine-tool industry in the 1890s."
Monitoring information is available to management in real time, and
workers who fall behind receive text messages pointing this out and
warning of consequences. Workers also find their productivity targets
continually increase the longer they work at Amazon. An employee at the
company's Allentown, Penn., facility says, "It started with 75 pieces an
hour, then 100 pieces an hour. Then 150 pieces an hour. They just got
faster and faster."
Still, when it's a case of bad working conditions vs. no working
conditions, the former generally wins, hands down. Among this year's
seasonal workers at Amazon will be many senior citizens living in company-sponsored RV camps that Gawker compares to the Great Depression's Hoovervilles.
"Who else wants to hire people in their 50s and older who've been pushed out of the workforce?" said Jessica Bruder, who's writing a book on the subject. "Amazon isn't generous, but it's better than the bottom of the barrel."
Still, it's hard to shake the feeling that Amazon workers are
effectively human robots. "The only reason Amazon doesn't actually
replace them with robots is they've yet to find a machine that can
handle so many different-sized packages," said Ben Roberts, who
published a series of photographs exposing the inner workings of a fulfillment center in the English Midlands.
How much longer will that hold true? Most people are employed in
occupations that are fundamentally routine and predicable. Oxford
University performed a detailed analysis of more than 700 occupations in
the United States and concluded that a staggering 47 percent of U.S.
employees – more than 60 million jobs – could become automated in the
next decade or two.
Pew Research study "AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs"
holds out hope that technology will ultimately free workers from
day-to-day drudgery and enable them to redefine "work" in a more
positive and socially beneficial way. But it acknowledges that while
"certain highly-skilled workers will succeed wildly in this new
environment, far more may be displaced into lower paying service
industry jobs at best, or permanent unemployment at worst."
Tech visionary Elon Musk said recently that artificial intelligence is
like "summoning the demon" and may well be humanity's "biggest
existential threat." Stephen Hawking this week echoed that sentiment,
warning that "the development of full artificial intelligence could
spell the end of the human race."
On a spectrum with doomsday predictions like these, perhaps Amazon's nonsentient Kiva robots don't look so bad after all.
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